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Traditional seismic hazard analyses underestimate hazard levels when compared to observations from the 2023 Kahramanmaras earthquakes - Communications Earth & Environment
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A sequence of two major earthquakes, Mw7.8 Pazarcik, and Mw7.5 Elbistan, struck Southeastern Turkey in February 2023. The large magnitudes of the earthquakes and the short time between the two events raised questions about whether this sequence was an extremely rare disaster. Here, based on prior knowledge, we perform seismic hazard assessment for the region to estimate exceedance probabilities of observed magnitudes and ground motions.
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