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Simulating AMOC tipping driven by internal climate variability with a rare event algorithm - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

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Simulating AMOC tipping driven by internal climate variability with a rare event algorithm - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

This study investigates the possibility of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) noise-induced tipping solely driven by internal climate variability without applying external forcing that alter the radiative forcing or the North Atlantic freshwater budget. We address this hypothesis by applying a rare event algorithm to ensemble simulations of present-day climate with an intermediate complexity climate model.

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Simulating AMOC tipping driven by internal climate variability with a rare event algorithm - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

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Simulating AMOC tipping driven by internal climate variability with a rare event algorithm - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

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